Sept. 9 2010 Thursday 21:17
 

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Keep Maturities Short

Longer maturity instruments are riskier and returns are not consistently greater:

  • The long term government bonds actually achieved about the same return as the five year government bonds; however, the long-term bonds also experienced much greater volatility.
  • Keeping maturities to around 5 years or less seems to produce the highest return per level of risk.

  • Short-term bonds have a lower correlation with equity portfolios than do long-term bonds as evidenced below:

Maturity

Correlation W/ S&P 500

Correlation W/ EAFE

1 Month

0.028

-0.117

6 Months

0.026

-0.124

1 Year

0.060

-0.187

5 Years

0.186

-0.043

20 Years

0.271

0.078

(Lower correlation results in greater diversification)

 

Our Question:  Why invest in fixed-income with stock-like volatility without stock-like premiums for returns?